Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
33.84% ( 0.45) | 25.06% ( -0.23) | 41.1% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 57.06% ( 0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.64% ( 1.15) | 46.36% ( -1.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.35% ( 1.07) | 68.65% ( -1.07) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% ( 0.83) | 26.4% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% ( 1.08) | 61.56% ( -1.08) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% ( 0.39) | 22.47% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.98% ( 0.58) | 56.03% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.84% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 21 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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