Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 51.14%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
51.14% ( -0.04) | 20.75% ( 0.01) | 28.11% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 69.78% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.58% ( -0.02) | 28.42% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.73% ( -0.03) | 49.26% ( 0.03) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.29% ( -0.02) | 11.7% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.18% ( -0.04) | 36.81% ( 0.04) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.03% ( 0.01) | 20.97% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.27% ( 0.01) | 53.72% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 6.31% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.64% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 51.14% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.57% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.45% ( 0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 20.75% | 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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