Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 3-1 (5.3%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
43.44% ( 0.48) | 22.22% ( -0.28) | 34.34% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 67.76% ( 1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.54% ( 1.37) | 32.46% ( -1.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.9% ( 1.58) | 54.1% ( -1.58) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.29% ( 0.73) | 15.71% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.21% ( 1.33) | 44.79% ( -1.33) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.39% ( 0.54) | 19.61% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.44% ( 0.87) | 51.56% ( -0.87) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 2% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.03% Total : 43.44% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 7% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.07) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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