2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Dec 18, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion
Erzgebirge Aue1 - 3Nuremberg
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Nuremberg.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Erzgebirge Aue | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 31.61% | 25.13% | 43.25% |
| Both teams to score 56.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
