Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.
