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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Dec 5, 2020 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Tondela

Porto
4 - 3
Tondela

Sanusi (4'), Marega (36', 48'), Taremi (56')
Uribe (40'), Evanilson (79')
Uribe (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Gonzalez (20', 74'), Barbosa (33')
Medioub (39'), Augusto (62'), Mendes (79'), Grau (83'), Martinez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 11.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawTondela
69.81%18.5%11.68%
Both teams to score 47.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.01%43.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.62%66.38%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.58%11.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.8%36.2%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.07%46.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.57%82.43%
Score Analysis
    Porto 69.8%
    Tondela 11.68%
    Draw 18.5%
PortoDrawTondela
2-0 @ 12.61%
1-0 @ 11.62%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 9.13%
3-1 @ 6.9%
4-0 @ 4.95%
4-1 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 2.61%
5-0 @ 2.15%
5-1 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 69.8%
1-1 @ 8.8%
0-0 @ 5.36%
2-2 @ 3.61%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 18.5%
0-1 @ 4.05%
1-2 @ 3.33%
0-2 @ 1.53%
2-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 11.68%

How you voted: Porto vs Tondela

Porto
78.3%
Draw
20.3%
Tondela
1.4%
69
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2020 7.15pm
Gameweek 31
Tondela
1-3
Porto
Jeronimo (77' pen.)
Alves (45+1'), Jaquite (49'), Xavier (90+1')
Pereira (47'), Marega (64'), Vieira (90+5' pen.)
Corona (41'), Telles (59'), Uribe (71'), Marega (90+5')
Dec 16, 2019 8.15pm
Gameweek 14
Porto
3-0
Tondela
Tiquinho (10', 32'), Otavio (51')
Feb 22, 2019 9.15pm
Gameweek 23
Tondela
0-3
Porto

Alves (20')
Pepe (11'), Torres (52'), Herrera (74')
Pepe (72')
Sep 28, 2018 8.30pm
Gameweek 6
Porto
1-0
Tondela
Tiquinho (85')
Pereira (15'), Oliveira (57'), Tiquinho (86')

Tomane (53'), Joaozinho (66'), Delgado (78'), Arango (92'), Jaquite (94')
Jan 19, 2018 9pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
2Benfica75111751216
3Porto6501123915
4Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes741276113
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara6402108212
6FamalicaoFamalicao632183511
7Braga632184411
8MoreirenseMoreirense7223911-28
9Casa Pia722369-38
10Rio AveRio Ave621358-37
11AVS6213610-47
12Gil Vicente7142712-57
13AroucaArouca620438-56
14Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
15BoavistaBoavista612337-45
16Estrela Amadora7124510-55
17Nacional6114412-84
18SC FarenseFarense6006213-110


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