Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 11.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Tondela |
69.81% | 18.5% | 11.68% |
Both teams to score 47.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.01% | 43.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.62% | 66.38% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.58% | 11.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.8% | 36.2% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.07% | 46.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.57% | 82.43% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Tondela |
2-0 @ 12.61% 1-0 @ 11.62% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 9.13% 3-1 @ 6.9% 4-0 @ 4.95% 4-1 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 2.61% 5-0 @ 2.15% 5-1 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.5% Total : 69.8% | 1-1 @ 8.8% 0-0 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 3.61% Other @ 0.73% Total : 18.5% | 0-1 @ 4.05% 1-2 @ 3.33% 0-2 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.86% Total : 11.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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