World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 5, 2024 at 10pm UK

Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion

Suriname
4 - 1
St Vincent & Gr.

Becker (39' pen.), Hilterman (45+2'), Lonwijk (46'), Montnor (70')
Vaessen (22'), Abena (33'), Denswil (86')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Anderson (31')
Francis (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Suriname and Saint Vincent & the Grenadines.

Form, Standings, Stats

Suriname

All competitions

Last Game: Suriname 1-1 Martinique
Sunday, March 24 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines

All competitions

Last Game: Grenada 0-3 St Vincent & Gr.
Sunday, May 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Current League B Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bermuda	0	0	0
2	Belize	0	0	0
3	Saint Vincent & the Grenadines	0	0	0
4	French Guiana	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 71.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Saint Vincent & the Grenadines had a probability of 11.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win it was 1-2 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.

Result
Suriname	Draw	Saint Vincent & the Grenadines
71.98% ( 0.49)	16.81% ( -0.36)	11.21% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 51.44% (

0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.65% (

1.35)

37.35% (

-1.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.44% (

1.44)

59.56% (

-1.43)

Suriname Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.89% (

0.46)

9.1% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.07% (

1.09)

30.92% (

-1.09)

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.6% (

0.67)

43.4% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.37% (

0.55)

79.63% (

-0.55)

Score Analysis

Suriname 71.97%

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines 11.21%

Draw 16.81%

Suriname	Draw	Saint Vincent & the Grenadines
2-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.1) 6-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.34% Total : 71.97%	1-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 1% Total : 16.81%	1-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.22% Total : 11.21%