MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 01:30:43| >> :60:2947:2947:
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 24, 2023 at 7am UK
Eden Park

Italy Women
1 - 0
Argentina Women

Girelli (87')
Caruso (25'), Bonansea (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Larroquette (12'), Anahi Mayorga (68'), Florencia Bonsegundo (76'), Noemi Stabile (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Women's World Cup clash between Italy Women and Argentina Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: S. Korea Women 1-2 Italy Women
Wednesday, February 22 at 4.45pm in Arnold Clark Cup
Last Game: USA Women 6-0 Argentina Women
Thursday, February 25 at 12am in SheBelieves Cup

We said: Italy Women 1-1 Argentina Women

Italy and Argentina will be determined to get off to a winning start, but with the two nations enjoying promising spells of form, we think that they will have to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Women win with a probability of 84.08%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Argentina Women had a probability of 4.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.49%) and 1-0 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.36%), while for an Argentina Women win it was 0-1 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Women would win this match.

Result
Italy WomenDrawArgentina Women
84.08% (0.26899999999999 0.27) 11.43% (-0.182 -0.18) 4.49% (-0.09 -0.09)
Both teams to score 36.45% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.56% (0.434 0.43)37.44% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.34% (0.464 0.46)59.66% (-0.46700000000001 -0.47)
Italy Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.49% (0.142 0.14)6.51% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.71% (0.39 0.39)24.28% (-0.393 -0.39)
Argentina Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.99% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)61.01% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.84% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)91.16% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Italy Women 84.06%
    Argentina Women 4.49%
    Draw 11.43%
Italy WomenDrawArgentina Women
2-0 @ 14.81% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 13.49% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 10.84% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-0 @ 9.22% (0.103 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.67% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
5-0 @ 5.04% (0.096 0.1)
4-1 @ 4.56% (0.042 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.49% (0.043 0.04)
6-0 @ 2.3% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
6-1 @ 1.13% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 84.06%
1-1 @ 5.36% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-2 @ 1.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 11.43%
0-1 @ 1.96% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-2 @ 1.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 4.49%

How you voted: Italy Women vs Argentina Women

Italy Women
56.7%
Draw
25.0%
Argentina Women
18.3%
60
rhs 2.0
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12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
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14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
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