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Euro 2022 Header WWW 2

Euro 2022
France national football team
Women's European Championship | Group Stage
Jul 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium

France Women
5 - 1
Italy Women

Geyoro (9', 40', 45'), Katoto (12'), Cascarino (38')
FT(HT: 5-0)
Piemonte (76')
Boattin (16'), Simonetti (52'), Gama (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's European Championship clash between France Women and Italy Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

France Women

Last Six:
Last Game: France Women 1-2 USA Women
Friday, June 28 at 8pm in Women's World Cup

Italy Women

Last Six:
Last Game: Italy Women 0-2 N'lands Women
Saturday, June 29 at 2pm in Women's World Cup

We said: France Women 2-1 Italy Women

 Although Italy demonstrated against Spain that they can compete with the best in Europe, we think that they will come up just short against a France side that contains a number of quality players that could help them reach the latter stages of the tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Italy Women had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.71%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Italy Women win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France Women would win this match.

Result
France WomenDrawItaly Women
46.24% (0.0030000000000001 0) 21.44% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03) 32.33% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 69.98% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.75% (0.199 0.2)29.26% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.71% (0.23800000000001 0.24)50.29% (-0.233 -0.23)
France Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.51% (0.076999999999998 0.08)13.5% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.48% (0.147 0.15)40.52% (-0.142 -0.14)
Italy Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (0.11499999999999 0.11)19.1% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.28% (0.188 0.19)50.72% (-0.181 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    France Women 46.24%
    Italy Women 32.33%
    Draw 21.44%
France WomenDrawItaly Women
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.17% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.16% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 4.73% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.37% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.31% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 46.24%
1-1 @ 8.55% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 7.08% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.61% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.58% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.91% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.53% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 32.33%

How you voted: France Women vs Italy Women

France Women
87.3%
Draw
9.1%
Italy Women
3.6%
55
rhs 2.0
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