Australia have started to build momentum in their last two matches, and with the Matildas spurred on by the home support, we think they will edge out France to secure their place in the Women's World Cup semi-finals for the very first time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Australia Women had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Australia Women win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%).

Result
Australia Women	Draw	France Women
37.11% ( -0.63)	23.69% ( 0.11)	39.19% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 62.62% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.63% (

-0.55)

39.37% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.29% (

-0.58)

61.71% (

0.57)

Australia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.63% (

-0.56)

21.37% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.65% (

-0.86)

54.34% (

0.86)

France Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.64% (

0.01)

20.36% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.23% (

0.02)

52.77% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Australia Women 37.11%

France Women 39.19%

Draw 23.69%

Australia Women	Draw	France Women
2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.72% Total : 37.11%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.69%	1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.99% Total : 39.19%