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Australia national football team
Women's World Cup | Quarter-Finals
Aug 12, 2023 at 8am UK
Suncorp Stadium
France national football team

Australia Women
0 - 0
France Women


Gorry (92')
FT
(aet)
Australia Women win 7-6 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's World Cup clash between Australia Women and France Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Australia Women 2-0 Denmark Women
Monday, August 7 at 11.30am in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: France Women 4-0 Morocco Women
Tuesday, August 8 at 12pm in Women's World Cup

We say: Australia Women 2-1 France Women

Australia have started to build momentum in their last two matches, and with the Matildas spurred on by the home support, we think they will edge out France to secure their place in the Women's World Cup semi-finals for the very first time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Australia Women had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Australia Women win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%).

Result
Australia WomenDrawFrance Women
37.11% (-0.634 -0.63) 23.69% (0.105 0.11) 39.19% (0.527 0.53)
Both teams to score 62.62% (-0.431 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.63% (-0.55 -0.55)39.37% (0.54799999999999 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.29% (-0.576 -0.58)61.71% (0.574 0.57)
Australia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (-0.55500000000001 -0.56)21.37% (0.553 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65% (-0.864 -0.86)54.34% (0.861 0.86)
France Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64% (0.012 0.01)20.36% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.23% (0.015999999999998 0.02)52.77% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Australia Women 37.11%
    France Women 39.19%
    Draw 23.69%
Australia WomenDrawFrance Women
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.059 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.18% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 37.11%
1-1 @ 10.68% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.081 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.179 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 4.51% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.92% (0.077 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 39.19%

How you voted: Australia Women vs France Women

Australia Women
43.1%
France Women
56.9%
51
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