MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 18:13:47| >> :600:41064872:41064872:
Australia national football team
Olympic Games Women's Football | Bronze Medal match
Aug 5, 2021 at 9am UK
Kashima Soccer Stadium
USA national football team

Australia Women
3 - 4
USA Women

Kerr (17'), Foord (54'), Gielnik (90')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Rapinoe (8', 21'), Lloyd (45+1', 51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between Australia Women and USA Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 52.37%. A win for Australia Women had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Australia Women win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.

Result
Australia WomenDrawUSA Women
25.17%22.46%52.37%
Both teams to score 60.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.62%39.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.28%61.72%
Australia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26%28.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43%64.58%
USA Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.85%15.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.27%43.73%
Score Analysis
    Australia Women 25.17%
    USA Women 52.37%
    Draw 22.45%
Australia WomenDrawUSA Women
2-1 @ 6.39%
1-0 @ 5.43%
2-0 @ 3.38%
3-1 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 2.51%
3-0 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 25.17%
1-1 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 4.35%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.45%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-1 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 7.75%
1-3 @ 6.08%
0-3 @ 4.88%
2-3 @ 3.79%
1-4 @ 2.87%
0-4 @ 2.3%
2-4 @ 1.79%
1-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 52.37%

How you voted: Australia Women vs USA Women

Australia Women
31.7%
USA Women
68.3%
60
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2021 9am
Jun 9, 2015 12.30am
Group Stage
USA Women
3-1
Australia Women
Rapinoe (12', 78'), Press (61')
Holiday (56'), Rapinoe (64')
De Vanna (27')