Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage

Jul 24, 2021 at 9.30am UK

Saitama Stadium 2002

Sweden Women
4 - 2
Australia Women

Rolfo (20', 63'), Hurtig (52'), Blackstenius (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kerr (36', 48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between Sweden Women and Australia Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Australia Women had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for an Australia Women win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.

Result
Sweden Women	Draw	Australia Women
55.36%	24.3%	20.33%

Both teams to score 48.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.45%

52.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.79%

74.21%

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.12%

18.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.65%

50.34%

Australia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.53%

40.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.92%

77.08%

Score Analysis

Sweden Women 55.35%

Australia Women 20.33%

Draw 24.3%

Sweden Women	Draw	Australia Women
1-0 @ 12.73% 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 5.9% 3-1 @ 5.34% 4-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.05% Total : 55.35%	1-1 @ 11.52% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.3%	0-1 @ 6.91% 1-2 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 3.13% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.26% Total : 20.33%