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Women's Super League | Gameweek 10
Dec 17, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Brighton Women

Leon (63')
Pacheco (80'), Leon (87')
Pacheco (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Losada (36'), Symonds (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City Women 2-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, December 9 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 2-2 Leicester Women
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

With the two sides separated by just one point, we expect Sunday's contest to be a closely-fought affair, and while Aston Villa will want to claim their first home win of the WSL season, we think that they will have to settle for a draw against a Brighton team that usually fare well in away games against the Villans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 67.85%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 15.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
67.85% (2.803 2.8) 16.94% (-0.926 -0.93) 15.2% (-1.871 -1.87)
Both teams to score 63.74% (-0.863 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.37% (0.807 0.81)27.63% (-0.801 -0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.72% (1 1)48.28% (-0.997 -1)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.47% (0.785 0.78)7.54% (-0.781 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.98% (1.985 1.99)27.02% (-1.981 -1.98)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94% (-1.53 -1.53)31.07% (1.534 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.62% (-1.828 -1.83)67.38% (1.833 1.83)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 67.85%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 15.2%
    Draw 16.94%
Aston Villa WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 7.88% (0.205 0.21)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.23 0.23)
3-0 @ 6.74% (0.447 0.45)
1-0 @ 6.05% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 5.1% (0.322 0.32)
3-2 @ 4.61% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 4.36% (0.445 0.45)
4-2 @ 2.98% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 2.64% (0.261 0.26)
5-0 @ 2.25% (0.308 0.31)
5-2 @ 1.54% (0.092 0.09)
4-3 @ 1.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.14% (0.151 0.15)
6-0 @ 0.97% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 67.85%
1-1 @ 7.08% (-0.375 -0.38)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.303 -0.3)
0-0 @ 2.34% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 16.94%
1-2 @ 4.14% (-0.407 -0.41)
0-1 @ 2.74% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.235 -0.24)
0-2 @ 1.6% (-0.227 -0.23)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 15.2%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 1
Brighton Women
2-6
Aston Villa
Zigiotti-Olme (3'), Carter (49' pen.)
Staniforth (15'), Hanson (17'), Nobbs (23', 43', 69'), Daly (36')
Feb 4, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Aston Villa
1-1
Brighton Women
Green (33' og.)
Zigiotti-Olme (74')
Mar 5, 2022 11.30am
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
Mar 17, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Aston Villa
0-2
Brighton Women

Arthur (45+3'), Hutton (65'), Weiss (80')
Whelan (21'), Kaagman (81' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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