Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mariupol win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Minai had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mariupol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Minai win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.