Desna
2 - 0
Mariupol

Kartushov (50'), Khlyobas (56')
Dombrovskyi (77'), Kartushov (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Chobotenko (76'), Bondarenko (79'), Chekh (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Mariupol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 24.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Mariupol win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.

Result
Desna Chernihiv	Draw	Mariupol
51.26%	24.39%	24.35%

Both teams to score 53.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.24%

48.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.13%

70.86%

Desna Chernihiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.98%

19.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.42%

50.58%

Mariupol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.53%

34.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.81%

71.19%

Score Analysis

Desna Chernihiv 51.26%

Mariupol 24.35%

Draw 24.38%

Desna Chernihiv	Draw	Mariupol
1-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 9.03% 3-1 @ 5.32% 3-0 @ 5% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.12% Total : 51.26%	1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 6.56% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.38%	0-1 @ 6.98% 1-2 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 3.72% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.15% Total : 24.35%