Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-21s win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Netherlands Under-21s had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.34%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Netherlands Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.