Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-21s win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Switzerland Under-21s had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Switzerland Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that France Under-21s would win this match.