Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Neuchatel Xamax had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Neuchatel Xamax win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.