Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 49.21%. A win for Thun had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Thun win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.