Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Servette had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.