Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Neuchatel Xamax had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Neuchatel Xamax win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.