Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Neuchatel Xamax had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Neuchatel Xamax win was 2-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Gallen in this match.