Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 60.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Luzern had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Luzern win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.