Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.