Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Luzern had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 0-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Luzern win it was 2-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.