Serie B | Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
SPAL0 - 2Frosinone
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Frosinone.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Genoa 3-0 SPAL
Saturday, February 25 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Saturday, February 25 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Frosinone 3-4 Parma
Friday, February 24 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, February 24 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Frosinone |
30.79% ( 0.52) | 25.47% ( 0.03) | 43.73% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
