Serie B | Gameweek 21

Jan 22, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Brescia
1 - 3
Frosinone

Rodriguez (18')
Bjorkengren (26'), Rodriguez (32'), Viviani (54'), Papetti (79')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Moro (37'), Insigne (40'), Baez (76')
Rohden (38'), Lulic (48')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Frosinone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brescia

All competitions

Last Game: Sudtirol 1-0 Brescia
Sunday, January 15 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Frosinone

All competitions

Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Modena
Saturday, January 14 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.

Result
Brescia	Draw	Frosinone
33.13% ( 0.64)	28.36% ( 0.38)	38.51% ( -1.02)

Both teams to score 46.48% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.25% (

-1.26)

59.75% (

1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.95% (

-0.98)

80.05% (

0.98)

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.47% (

-0.21)

33.53% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.83% (

-0.23)

70.17% (

0.23)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.93% (

-1.22)

30.07% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.79% (

-1.49)

66.21% (

1.49)

Score Analysis

Brescia 33.12%

Frosinone 38.51%

Draw 28.35%

Brescia	Draw	Frosinone
1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.12%	1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.35%	0-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.51%