Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 54.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 19.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Gijon	Draw	Eldense
54.33% ( -1.16)	26.62% ( 0.56)	19.05% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 40.46% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.07% (

-1.14)

61.93% (

1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.32% (

-0.85)

81.68% (

0.85)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.92% (

-0.98)

23.08% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.08% (

-1.46)

56.92% (

1.46)

Eldense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.6% (

0.03)

47.4% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.21% (

0.02)

82.79% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Sporting Gijon 54.33%

Eldense 19.05%

Draw 26.6%

Sporting Gijon	Draw	Eldense
1-0 @ 16.04% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.43% Total : 54.33%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.43% Total : 26.6%	0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 19.05%