Sporting Gijon

2 - 0

Espanyol

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.