Segunda Division | Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat
Eldense2 - 0Burgos
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Eldense and Burgos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Jaen 2-3 Eldense
Wednesday, November 1 at 3.30pm in Copa del Rey
Wednesday, November 1 at 3.30pm in Copa del Rey
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Hercules 1-2 Burgos
Thursday, November 2 at 7.30pm in Copa del Rey
Thursday, November 2 at 7.30pm in Copa del Rey
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eldense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eldense | Draw | Burgos |
40.18% ( 0.12) | 28.19% ( -0.01) | 31.63% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.59% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.56% ( 0.03) | 59.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.19% ( 0.02) | 79.81% ( -0.02) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( 0.08) | 28.95% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.17% ( 0.1) | 64.83% ( -0.1) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% ( -0.06) | 34.43% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.86% ( -0.06) | 71.13% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Eldense 40.17%
Burgos 31.63%
Draw 28.19%
| Eldense | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 31.63% |
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2022 6pm
