Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 2, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Rico Perez
Hercules1 - 2Burgos
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Hercules and Burgos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burgos 1-1 Zaragoza
Monday, October 30 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Monday, October 30 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Hercules had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Hercules win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hercules | Draw | Burgos |
30.56% ( -1.45) | 28.29% ( -0.13) | 41.15% ( 1.59) |
| Both teams to score 45.95% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
