Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Hercules had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Hercules win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.

Result
Hercules	Draw	Burgos
30.56% ( -1.45)	28.29% ( -0.13)	41.15% ( 1.59)

Both teams to score 45.95% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.93% (

0.11)

60.07% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.71% (

0.08)

80.29% (

-0.08)

Hercules Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.45% (

-1.01)

35.55% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.68% (

-1.06)

72.32% (

1.06)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3% (

0.96)

28.7% (

-0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.47% (

1.18)

64.53% (

-1.18)

Score Analysis

Hercules 30.56%

Burgos 41.14%

Draw 28.28%

Hercules	Draw	Burgos
1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.05% Total : 30.56%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.28%	0-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.65% Total : 41.14%