Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 46.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Santander would win this match.

Result
Racing de Santander	Draw	Burgos
46.74% ( 0.24)	29.36% ( 0.21)	23.9% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 39.36% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.72% (

-0.85)

66.29% (

0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.22% (

-0.58)

84.78% (

0.58)

Racing de Santander Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29% (

-0.3)

28.71% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.47% (

-0.37)

64.54% (

0.37)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.21% (

-0.93)

44.8% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.23% (

-0.76)

80.77% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Racing de Santander 46.73%

Burgos 23.89%

Draw 29.35%

Racing de Santander	Draw	Burgos
1-0 @ 16.04% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.44% Total : 46.73%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.38% Total : 29.35%	0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.76% Total : 23.89%