Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 41.95%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Sabadell had a probability of 27.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.71%) and 1-2 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Sabadell win it was 1-0 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.