Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 49.28%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.25%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 1-0 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.