Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 39.34%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 28.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (6.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.11%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood.