Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 40.48%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Sabadell had a probability of 29.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 2-1 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.4%), while for a Sabadell win it was 0-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.