Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Sabadell had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.62%) and 1-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Sabadell win was 1-0 (12.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
