Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 48.63%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.75%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 1-0 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.