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Segunda Division | Gameweek 24
Feb 8, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio El Toralin

Ponferradina
2 - 0
Alcorcon

de Souza (16', 55' pen.)
Adot (83'), Castellano (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fraile (34'), Garcia (59')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Alcorcon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 35.84%. A draw had a probability of 33.8% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.4%) and 2-1 (6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.91%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (14.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.

Result
PonferradinaDrawAlcorcon
35.84%33.76%30.4%
Both teams to score 33.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
24.79%75.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
9.61%90.39%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.69%40.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.06%76.93%
Alcorcon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.55%44.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.51%80.49%
Score Analysis
    Ponferradina 35.83%
    Alcorcon 30.4%
    Draw 33.75%
PonferradinaDrawAlcorcon
1-0 @ 16.27%
2-0 @ 7.4%
2-1 @ 6%
3-0 @ 2.24%
3-1 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 35.83%
0-0 @ 17.91%
1-1 @ 13.2%
2-2 @ 2.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 33.75%
0-1 @ 14.52%
0-2 @ 5.89%
1-2 @ 5.35%
0-3 @ 1.59%
1-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 30.4%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 6
Alcorcon
0-1
Ponferradina

Bravo (27'), Sosa (73'), Fernandez (86')
Aizpuru (88')
Larrea (43')
Jan 26, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 25
Alcorcon
3-1
Ponferradina
Pomares (36'), Mula (39'), Arribas (73')
Costa (23'), Perea (82')
Ivi (87')
Antonio Rios (38'), Russo (62'), Manzanara (65')
Sep 14, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Ponferradina
1-1
Alcorcon
Kaxe (41')
Valcarce (21')
Romera (72')
Dieguez (4'), Boateng (13'), Samuel (64')
Boateng (58'), Samuel (65')
rhs 2.0
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15Albacete216872528-326
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17Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo206682927224
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22TenerifeTenerife1925121429-1511


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