Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 50.54%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 24.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Ross County win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.