Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.37%) and 2-1 (6.87%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (13.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
36.62% | 31.29% | 32.09% |
Both teams to score 38.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.98% | 69.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.4% | 86.6% |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.86% | 36.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.08% | 72.92% |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.63% | 39.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.93% | 76.07% |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 14.48% 2-0 @ 7.37% 2-1 @ 6.87% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.98% Total : 36.62% | 0-0 @ 14.22% 1-1 @ 13.49% 2-2 @ 3.2% Other @ 0.36% Total : 31.27% | 0-1 @ 13.26% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.49% Total : 32.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |