Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 10

Oct 2, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
2 - 1
St Mirren

Watkins (71'), Ferguson (90+1')
McCrorie (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Erhahon (54')
McCarthy (43')

Lewis Ferguson hails Aberdeen character in win over St Mirren

Lewis Ferguson snatched victory in stoppage-time.

Oct 3, 13:27

St Mirren boss Jim Goodwin pictured on August 9, 2020

St Mirren boss Jim Goodwin: 'My players gave everything against Aberdeen'

Lewis Ferguson grabbed a last-minute winner for Aberdeen after the Buddies had led 1-0.

Oct 3, 00:02

The Match

Match Report

Lewis Ferguson scored the winner in stoppage time.

Team News

Buddies defender Richard Tait will sit out the trip through suspension.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 56.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 18.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	St Mirren
56.64%	25.18%	18.18%

Both teams to score 42.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.76%

58.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.12%

78.87%

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.41%

20.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.88%

53.12%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.75%

46.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.09%

81.91%

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 56.63%

St Mirren 18.18%

Draw 25.17%

Aberdeen	Draw	St Mirren
1-0 @ 15.04% 2-0 @ 11.89% 2-1 @ 9.17% 3-0 @ 6.27% 3-1 @ 4.83% 4-0 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.19% Total : 56.63%	1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 9.52% 2-2 @ 3.54% Other @ 0.52% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 7.34% 1-2 @ 4.48% 0-2 @ 2.83% 1-3 @ 1.15% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.47% Total : 18.18%