Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 56.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 18.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.