Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Montrose |
46.84% ( -7.79) | 23.39% ( 0.87) | 29.76% ( 6.91) |
Both teams to score 61.1% ( 3.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.73% ( 1.83) | 40.27% ( -1.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.35% ( 1.87) | 62.64% ( -1.87) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.52% ( -2.13) | 17.47% ( 2.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.04% ( -3.85) | 47.96% ( 3.85) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.03% ( 6.17) | 25.96% ( -6.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.02% ( 7.64) | 60.98% ( -7.64) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Montrose |
2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.53) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -1.33) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -1.76) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.73) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( -1.4) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.52) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.79) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.94% Total : 46.84% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.69) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.39) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.32) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 1.24) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.52) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.95) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.98) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.71) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.65) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.45) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.35) Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Arbroath | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 17 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Montrose | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 13 |
9 | Dumbarton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | -2 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |