Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.