Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo Moskva win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo Moskva win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Khimki	Draw	Torpedo Moskva
28.61% ( 0.27)	25.36% ( 0.09)	46.03% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 53.64% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.28% (

-0.21)

49.72% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.27% (

-0.19)

71.73% (

0.19)

Khimki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.43% (

0.09)

31.57% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.03% (

0.11)

67.97% (

-0.11)

Torpedo Moskva Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.39% (

-0.25)

21.6% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.29% (

-0.38)

54.71% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Khimki 28.61%

Torpedo Moskva 46.03%

Draw 25.35%

Khimki	Draw	Torpedo Moskva
1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.61%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 46.03%