Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Torpedo Moskva win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Torpedo Moskva	Draw	Fakel
34.51% ( 0.3)	26% ( -0.08)	39.49% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 54.01% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.64% (

0.38)

50.36% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.7% (

0.34)

72.3% (

-0.34)

Torpedo Moskva Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.08% (

0.37)

27.91% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.47% (

0.47)

63.53% (

-0.48)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.93% (

0.05)

25.07% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.24% (

0.08)

59.75% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Torpedo Moskva 34.51%

Fakel 39.49%

Draw 26%

Torpedo Moskva	Draw	Fakel
1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.51%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 39.49%