Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.

Result
Ural Yekaterinburg	Draw	Fakel
53.58% ( 0.07)	23.68% ( -0.01)	22.74% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 53.43% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.63% (

-0.01)

47.36% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.42% (

-0.01)

69.58% (

Ural Yekaterinburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.39% (

0.02)

17.6% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.81% (

0.04)

48.18% (

-0.04)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.85% (

-0.06)

35.15% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.1% (

-0.06)

71.9% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Ural Yekaterinburg 53.57%

Fakel 22.74%

Draw 23.68%

Ural Yekaterinburg	Draw	Fakel
1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.64% Total : 53.57%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.68%	0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 22.74%