Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 18

Feb 23, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 4
Crystal Palace

Sissoko (18')
Samir (40'), Femenia (62')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Mateta (15'), Gallagher (42'), Zaha (85', 90')
Kouyate (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Watford and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Watford 1-1 Crystal Palace

Watford have not given their fans much to cheer about on their own turf recently but may sense an opportunity to aid their bid for survival against a wholly inconsistent Palace side. Vieira's men possess the attacking talent capable of breaching the Hornets' staunch backline, though, and we think this game has a draw written all over it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.13%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Crystal Palace
29.94%	29.11%	40.94%

Both teams to score 43.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.02%

62.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.55%

82.45%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.39%

37.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.61%

74.39%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.75%

30.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.58%

66.41%

Score Analysis

Watford 29.94%

Crystal Palace 40.94%

Draw 29.1%

Watford	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 5.44% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.77% 3-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.72% Total : 29.94%	1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.1%	0-1 @ 13.6% 0-2 @ 8.13% 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-3 @ 3.24% 1-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 0.97% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.38% Total : 40.94%