FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Feb 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
2 - 0
Hartlepool

Guehi (4'), Olise (22')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Holohan (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Crystal Palace and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Crystal Palace 3-1 Hartlepool United

Hartlepool will be hopeful of causing another cup upset, but Palace named a strong side in the third round and should do so again in this game. We think the Eagles will have too much quality despite the visitors' best efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 16.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Hartlepool United
62.07%	21.31%	16.62%

Both teams to score 50.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.3%

45.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.98%

68.02%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.84%

14.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.16%

41.84%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.26%

40.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.68%

77.32%

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 62.07%

Hartlepool United 16.62%

Draw 21.3%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 11.27% 2-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 6.45% 4-0 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-2 @ 1.42% 5-0 @ 1.37% 5-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.67% Total : 62.07%	1-1 @ 10.12% 0-0 @ 5.77% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.3%	0-1 @ 5.18% 1-2 @ 4.55% 0-2 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.87% Total : 16.62%