Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Watford had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Watford |
43.05% | 26.37% | 30.58% |
Both teams to score 51.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.06% | 52.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.46% | 74.54% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% | 24.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.19% | 58.81% |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.2% | 31.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.77% | 68.23% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.62% Total : 43.04% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |